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What does it take to get a reliable cashflow forecast around here?


Wednesday 22nd May 2024





Parmenion’s head of strategic partnerships, Patrick Ingram, joined host Richard Allum for a lunch-hour Assembly to explore how paraplanners can approach the art of cashflow forecasting these days.

Why?  Because two years ago, the Bank of England raised interest rates to break a 1% ceiling that had been in place since February 2009.

Ten more rate rises followed. Inflation peaked at 11.1% in October 2022. The result for many investors, savers, borrowers and anyone who bought anything, quite frankly, was a cost of living shock.

What’s more, the already unfamiliar effect of rising living and housing costs have been compounded by a fiscal drag that’s set to squeeze the spending power of many taxpayers: any gains in pay evaporate as personal allowances remain stubbornly static.

So the chances are we’re all living in a ‘new normal’ – and many would say we’re experiencing a reversion to pre-2008 financial crash ‘normal’.

Cashflow forecasting in the ‘new normal’

What does all that mean? Well, after 15 years of low rates and barely perceptible cost of living rises, predicting the future with any confidence suddenly feels a lot more…unpredictable.

Once ultra-reliable features of a paraplanner’s toolkit don’t seem half as straightforward as they once did. And that includes one of the foundational elements of any financial plan: cashflow forecasting.

So in a world that continues to be beset by economic, political and environmental uncertainty, what does a paraplanner need to know to produce a cashflow forecast that won’t dissolve on contact with reality?

What you’ll gain from this Assembly

In this lunchtime gathering, Patrick explored ways of thinking about cashflow and forecasting which relied less on predicting the future and more on preparing for it. We covered concepts including:

  • causes and effects of fiscal drag
  • capacity for loss
  • cash budgeting
  • wealth ratios
  • cashflows and the consumer duty

It was a 60-minute session that offered a stack of insights and practical ideas that could be applied to client cases right away – plus a discussion that underlined just how vital conversations about cashflow with clients could be.


Patrick Ingram

Patrick is Parmenion’s Head of Strategic Partnerships. He has experience of private client discretionary management and wealth management consolidation, in a number of AIM quoted companies.

He was previously CEO of Rowan & Co and Finance Director of Seymour Pierce Group plc. Patrick graduated with degree in History from Oxford University in 1981, trained as a Chartered Accountant with KPMG, and holds the ASIP investment research qualification.

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